Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.322313 0.348193 0.375893 0.407870 0.443921 0.483486 0.530440
2025-11-23 0.275052 0.310825 0.351745 0.402529 0.464596 0.538967 0.636370
2025-11-30 0.252144 0.293863 0.343848 0.409221 0.494134 0.603185 0.758224
2025-12-07 0.232243 0.276861 0.332191 0.407510 0.510148 0.649644 0.862361
2025-12-14 0.216597 0.262994 0.322179 0.405496 0.523813 0.692892 0.967915
2025-12-21 0.200974 0.247518 0.308215 0.395972 0.524833 0.716841 1.047035
2025-12-28 0.194268 0.243005 0.308124 0.405128 0.553120 0.784698 1.210757
2026-01-04 0.187143 0.237238 0.305598 0.410145 0.575218 0.845459 1.375867
2026-01-11 0.179453 0.230074 0.300399 0.410422 0.589469 0.894750 1.531171
2026-01-18 0.170384 0.220366 0.290781 0.402937 0.589921 0.919503 1.642407
2026-01-25 0.160961 0.209617 0.278926 0.390908 0.581282 0.926116 1.715571
2026-02-01 0.153662 0.201539 0.270522 0.383652 0.579985 0.946166 1.824922
2026-02-08 0.146983 0.194214 0.263088 0.377837 0.581423 0.973417 1.965042
2026-02-15 0.140980 0.187630 0.256456 0.372921 0.584145 1.004184 2.126909
2026-02-22 0.138031 0.185409 0.256371 0.378904 0.607671 1.082815 2.454406
2026-03-01 0.133619 0.180746 0.252146 0.377372 0.616526 1.130781 2.713169
2026-03-08 0.129479 0.176291 0.247979 0.375568 0.624560 1.178324 2.995391
2026-03-15 0.124231 0.169902 0.240359 0.367036 0.618002 1.189658 3.155682
2026-03-22 0.122728 0.169234 0.241967 0.375239 0.646916 1.294942 3.743840
2026-03-29 0.120579 0.167444 0.241601 0.379729 0.668457 1.386316 4.352142
2026-04-05 0.117767 0.164476 0.239095 0.379977 0.680682 1.455179 4.919861
2026-04-12 0.113869 0.159623 0.233174 0.373276 0.676483 1.476194 5.257949
2026-04-19 0.109460 0.153807 0.225381 0.362495 0.661900 1.463928 5.400430